Mathematical modeling of Leptospirosis spread in Malaysia

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dc.citation.epage25
dc.citation.issue1
dc.citation.spage18
dc.contributor.affiliationУніверситет Малайзії в Сараваці
dc.contributor.affiliationUniversiti Malaysia Sarawak
dc.contributor.authorЧонг, Дж. В.
dc.contributor.authorТіонг, В. К.
dc.contributor.authorЛабадін, Дж.
dc.contributor.authorСаак, Н.
dc.contributor.authorChong, J. W.
dc.contributor.authorTiong, W. K.
dc.contributor.authorLabadin, J.
dc.contributor.authorSahak, N.
dc.coverage.placenameЛьвів
dc.coverage.placenameLviv
dc.date.accessioned2023-12-13T09:11:06Z
dc.date.available2023-12-13T09:11:06Z
dc.date.created2021-03-01
dc.date.issued2021-03-01
dc.description.abstractЛептоспіроз — це зоонозне захворювання, що викликається збудником Leptospira, яке може опосередковано або безпосередньо поширюватися від інфікованих тварин до людей. Згідно з офіційною статистикою Міністерства охорони здоров’я Малайзії, за останні декілька років спалахи лептоспірозу виявилися найкритичнішими. Компартментальна модель “сприйнятливі–інфіковані–одужані” та її розширення широко застосовуються для моделювання захворювань. Ця стаття має на меті подати компартментальну модель поширення лептоспірозу в Малайзії. Використовуючи цей підхід, формується епідеміологічна модель для людей та популяцій переносників. Наші результати вказують на те, що швидкість передавання від сприйнятливих до інфікованих переносників та рівень народжуваності відіграє значну роль у визначенні кількості інфікованих людей. Крім того, вони впливають і на тривалість спалаху. Результати моделювання було порівняно з фактичними даними 2017 року, аналіз показує, що запропонована модель здатна передбачити спалах, який був зафіксований в Малайзії.
dc.description.abstractLeptospirosis is a zoonotic disease that is caused by the pathogen Leptospira, and it can spread indirectly or directly from infected animals to humans. According to the official statistics from the Malaysian Ministry of Health, leptospirosis outbreaks appeared to be in the most critical condition in the recent few years. The Susceptible–Infected– Recovered compartmental model and its extensions have been applied widely in disease modeling. This paper aims to present a compartmental model for leptospirosis spread in Malaysia. Using this approach, an epidemiological model is formulated for humans and vector populations. Our results indicate that the transmission rate from susceptible to infected vectors and the vector birth rate play a significant role in determining the number of infected humans. Besides, they have an impact on the duration of the outbreak as well. The simulation results have been compared with the actual data in 2017 and the analysis shows that the proposed model is able to predict the outbreak recorded in Malaysia.
dc.format.extent18-25
dc.format.pages8
dc.identifier.citationMathematical modeling of Leptospirosis spread in Malaysia / J. W. Chong, W. K. Tiong, J. Labadin, N. Sahak // Mathematical Modeling and Computing. — Lviv : Lviv Politechnic Publishing House, 2022. — Vol 9. — No 1. — P. 18–25.
dc.identifier.citationenMathematical modeling of Leptospirosis spread in Malaysia / J. W. Chong, W. K. Tiong, J. Labadin, N. Sahak // Mathematical Modeling and Computing. — Lviv : Lviv Politechnic Publishing House, 2022. — Vol 9. — No 1. — P. 18–25.
dc.identifier.doi10.23939/mmc2022.01.018
dc.identifier.urihttps://ena.lpnu.ua/handle/ntb/60551
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherВидавництво Львівської політехніки
dc.publisherLviv Politechnic Publishing House
dc.relation.ispartofMathematical Modeling and Computing, 1 (9), 2022
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dc.relation.references[2] Gupta V., Bala N. Leptospirosis: A Disease of Public Health Importance. International Journal of Medical Sciences. 9 (1), 43–49 (2016).
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dc.relation.references[20] Leptospirosis Information Center. Overview of human leptospirosis – guide for the public. http://www.leptospirosis.org/human-leptospirosis-guide/
dc.relation.references[21] Andreollo N. A., Santos E. F., Araujo M. R., Lopes L. R. Rat’s Age Versus Human’s Age: What is the Relationship? ABCD Arquivos Brasileiros de Cirurgia Digestiva. 25 (1), 49–51 (2012).
dc.relation.references[22] Benacer D., Thong K. L., Verasahib K. B., Galloway R L., Hartskeerl R. A., Lewis J. W., Zain S. N. M. Human Leptospirosis in Malaysia: Reviewing the Challenges After 8 Decades (1925–2012). Asia Pacific Journal of Public Health. 28 (4), 290–302 (2016).
dc.relation.referencesen[1] Levett P. N. Leptospirosis. Clinical Microbiology Reviews. 14 (2), 296 (2001).
dc.relation.referencesen[2] Gupta V., Bala N. Leptospirosis: A Disease of Public Health Importance. International Journal of Medical Sciences. 9 (1), 43–49 (2016).
dc.relation.referencesen[3] Stimson A. M. Note on an organism found in yellow-fever tissue. Public Health Reports (1896–1907). 22 (18), 541 (1907).
dc.relation.referencesen[4] Inada R., Ido Y. A Report on the Discovery of the Causal Organism (a New Species of Spirochaeta) of Weil’s Disease. Tokyo Ijishinshi. 1908, 351 (1915).
dc.relation.referencesen[5] Kumbhare M. R., Surana A. R., Arote R. A., Borse G. D. Current Status of Leptospirosis: A Zoonotic Tropical Disease. International Journal of Microbiology and Current Research. 1 (1), 14–19 (2019).
dc.relation.referencesen[6] Noguchi H. The Spirochaetes. In E. O. Jordan, I. S. Falk (Eds.), The Newer Knowledge of Bacteriology and Immunology. University of Chicago Press (1928).
dc.relation.referencesen[7] World Health Organisation. Human Leptospirosis: Guidance for Diagnosis, Surveillance and Control. http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/42667/1/WHO_CDS_CSR_EPH_2002.23.pdf (2003).
dc.relation.referencesen[8] Thibeaux R., Geroult S., Benezech C., Chabaud S., Soupe-Gilbert M.-E., Girault D., Bierque E., Goarant C. Seeking the environmental source of Leptospirosis reveals durable bacterial viability in river soils. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 11 (2), e0005414 (2017).
dc.relation.referencesen[9] Pappas G., Papadimitriou P., Siozopoulou V., Christou L., Akritidis N. The globalization of leptospirosis: worldwide incidence trends. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 12 (4), 351–357 (2008).
dc.relation.referencesen[10] Garba B., Bahaman A. R., Khairani-Bejo S., Zakaria Z., Mutalib A. R. Retrospective Study of Leptospirosis in Malaysia. EcoHealth. 14, 389–398 (2017).
dc.relation.referencesen[11] Lee L. T. Declare all-out war on rats. The Star Malaysia (2017).
dc.relation.referencesen[12] Bharti A. R., Nally J. E., Ricaldi J. N., Matthias M. A., Diaz M. M., Lovett M. A., Levett P. N., Gilman R. H., Willig M. R., Gotuzzo E., Vinetz J. M. Leptospirosis: a zoonotic disease of global importance. The Lancet Infectious Disease. 3 (12), 757–771 (2003).
dc.relation.referencesen[13] Pongsumpun P. Mathematical Model for the Transmission of Leptospirosis in Juvennile and Adults Humans. International Journal of Mathematical and Computational Sciences. 6 (12), 1639–1644 (2012).
dc.relation.referencesen[14] Triampo W., Baowan D., Tang I. M., Nuttavut N., Wong-Ekkabut J., Doungchawee G. A Simple Deterministic Model for the Spread of Leptospirosis in Thailand. International Journal of Biomedical Sciences. 2 (1), 22–26 (2007).
dc.relation.referencesen[15] Khan M. A., Islam S., Khan S. A., Khan I., Shafie S., Gul T. Prevention of Leptospirosis Infected Vector and Human Population by Multiple Control Variables. Abstract and Applied Analysis. 2014, Article ID 619035 (2014).
dc.relation.referencesen[16] Department of Statistics Malaysia. Current Population Estimates, Malaysia, 2017–2018 (2018). https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r=column/cthemeByCat&cat=155&bul_id=P.1pqTnFjb29HSnNYNUpiTmNWZHArdz09&menu_id=L0pheU43NWJwRWVSZklWdzQ4TlhUUT09
dc.relation.referencesen[17] Department of Statistics Malaysia. Vital Statistics, Malaysia, 2017–2018 (2018). https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r=column/cthemeByCat&cat=165&bul_id=Z1VxWjBnQXRFblE0ZDVKbFJSSFFZdz09&menu_id=L0pheU43NWJwRWVSZklWdzQ4TlhUUT09#
dc.relation.referencesen[18] Department of Statistics Malaysia. Abridged Life Tables, Malaysia, 2016–2018(2018). https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r=column/cthemeByCat&cat=116&bul_id=aDV6TWxoU0NlNVBYN1hXM1Y0L2Jadz09&menu_id=L0pheU43NWJwRWVSZklWdzQ4TlhUUT09
dc.relation.referencesen[19] Izurieta R., Galwankar S., Clem A. Leptospirosis: The "mysterious" mimic. Journal of Emergencies, Trauma, and Shock. 1 (1), 21–23 (2008).
dc.relation.referencesen[20] Leptospirosis Information Center. Overview of human leptospirosis – guide for the public. http://www.leptospirosis.org/human-leptospirosis-guide/
dc.relation.referencesen[21] Andreollo N. A., Santos E. F., Araujo M. R., Lopes L. R. Rat’s Age Versus Human’s Age: What is the Relationship? ABCD Arquivos Brasileiros de Cirurgia Digestiva. 25 (1), 49–51 (2012).
dc.relation.referencesen[22] Benacer D., Thong K. L., Verasahib K. B., Galloway R L., Hartskeerl R. A., Lewis J. W., Zain S. N. M. Human Leptospirosis in Malaysia: Reviewing the Challenges After 8 Decades (1925–2012). Asia Pacific Journal of Public Health. 28 (4), 290–302 (2016).
dc.relation.urihttp://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/42667/1/WHO_CDS_CSR_EPH_2002.23.pdf
dc.relation.urihttps://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r=column/cthemeByCat&cat=155&bul_id=c1pqTnFjb29HSnNYNUpiTmNWZHArdz09&menu_id=L0pheU43NWJwRWVSZklWdzQ4TlhUUT09
dc.relation.urihttps://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r=column/cthemeByCat&cat=165&bul_id=Z1VxWjBnQXRFblE0ZDVKbFJSSFFZdz09&menu_id=L0pheU43NWJwRWVSZklWdzQ4TlhUUT09#
dc.relation.urihttps://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r=column/cthemeByCat&cat=116&bul_id=aDV6TWxoU0NlNVBYN1hXM1Y0L2Jadz09&menu_id=L0pheU43NWJwRWVSZklWdzQ4TlhUUT09
dc.relation.urihttp://www.leptospirosis.org/human-leptospirosis-guide/
dc.rights.holder© Національний університет “Львівська політехніка”, 2022
dc.subjectлептоспіроз
dc.subjectпередавання
dc.subjectматематичне моделювання
dc.subjectмодель SIR
dc.subjectLeptospirosis
dc.subjecttransmission
dc.subjectmathematical modeling
dc.subjectSIR model
dc.titleMathematical modeling of Leptospirosis spread in Malaysia
dc.title.alternativeМатематичне моделювання поширення лептоспірозу в Малайзії
dc.typeArticle

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Mathematical Modeling And Computing. – 2022. – Vol. 9, No. 1